If getting a HOB I'd recommend the AC50 filter. I have it on my 20gallon and its overkill, should be perfect for the 33. And as already said, cut a cruddy sponge from the xp3 and cram it in for 1 or 2 of the inserts of the HOB. You really shouldn't have ANY cycle if you use 2 inserts worth of seed material.
I'd recommend using a seed sponge from the xp3 on the bottom, biomedia such as the ceramic balls they supply in the middle, and then another seed sponge on the top. This is the setup I use and it works quite well. Water comes in at the bottom layer and works its way upwards through the filter. This is somewhat of a pain during cleaning since the lowest insert is always the dirtiest, but they are so quick to clean compared to a canister, on smaller tanks I prefer them.
Only thing you might want to change would be to use some filter floss instead of the 2nd sponge. I've never tried this but hear it filters the water slightly better (finer) than just with the sponges. I'd not use the carbon insert. Save it for a time where your water turns colors or stinks, or after using meds.